Crypto Fear & Greed Index: Market Sentiment Tracker
Track the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index in real time. Understand market sentiment, historical patterns, and how fear and greed correlate with price movements.
What is the Crypto Fear & Greed Index?
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is a daily metric that measures the overall emotional state of the cryptocurrency market on a scale from 0 to 100. A reading of 0 represents "Extreme Fear," suggesting investors are highly anxious and selling aggressively, while 100 represents "Extreme Greed," indicating euphoric buying and overconfidence. The index distills multiple market signals into a single number that helps traders and investors gauge whether the market is driven by rational analysis or raw emotion.
Originally inspired by CNN's Fear & Greed Index for traditional equities, the crypto version was created by Alternative.me to address the unique volatility and sentiment cycles of digital asset markets. Because crypto markets trade 24/7 and are heavily influenced by social media and retail investor behavior, sentiment swings tend to be more pronounced than in traditional finance.
How is the Index Calculated?
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index combines six distinct data sources, each weighted to reflect its relative importance in measuring market sentiment:
| Factor | Weight | What It Measures |
|---|---|---|
| Volatility | 25% | Current Bitcoin volatility and max drawdowns compared to 30-day and 90-day averages. Unusual spikes in volatility signal fear. |
| Market Volume | 25% | Current trading volume relative to recent averages. High buying volume in a rising market signals greed; low volume suggests uncertainty. |
| Social Media | 15% | Analysis of crypto-related posts and engagement rates across platforms like X (formerly Twitter) and Reddit. Rapid increases in mentions and hashtag activity indicate growing greed. |
| Surveys | 15% | Weekly polls of crypto investors gauging their short-term market outlook. Large sample sizes help capture retail sentiment directly. |
| Bitcoin Dominance | 10% | Bitcoin's share of total crypto market capitalization. Rising dominance can indicate fear (flight to safety), while falling dominance may signal greed (speculation on altcoins). |
| Google Trends | 10% | Search volume for Bitcoin-related queries. Spikes in searches like "Bitcoin price manipulation" suggest fear, while searches for "how to buy crypto" suggest greed. |
These six inputs are normalized, weighted, and combined into a single composite score updated once per day.
Understanding the Sentiment Scale
The index value maps to five sentiment categories:
| Range | Label | Market Behavior |
|---|---|---|
| 0 to 24 | Extreme Fear | Panic selling, capitulation, and widespread pessimism. Markets may be oversold. |
| 25 to 49 | Fear | Cautious sentiment with below-average buying activity. Investors are hesitant. |
| 50 | Neutral | Balanced sentiment with no strong directional bias. |
| 51 to 74 | Greed | Optimistic sentiment with rising prices and increasing speculative activity. |
| 75 to 100 | Extreme Greed | Euphoria, FOMO-driven buying, and overextended markets. Risk of a correction is elevated. |
Historical Examples
Looking at past extremes helps illustrate how the index correlates with major market events:
In March 2020, when COVID-19 triggered a global market crash, Bitcoin plummeted from roughly $9,000 to under $4,000 in a matter of days. The Fear & Greed Index dropped to 8: deep into Extreme Fear territory. Investors who bought during that panic saw Bitcoin recover above $10,000 within months and eventually reach new all-time highs.
Conversely, in November 2021, Bitcoin hit its all-time high near $69,000. The index climbed to 84, firmly in Extreme Greed. Social media was flooded with price predictions of $100,000 by year-end. Within weeks, Bitcoin began a prolonged decline that would eventually see it drop below $16,000 a year later.
These examples illustrate a well-known contrarian principle: extreme fear often signals buying opportunities, while extreme greed frequently precedes corrections.
Trading Strategies Based on Sentiment
The Fear & Greed Index is most commonly used as a contrarian indicator. Here are several approaches traders use:
- Contrarian buying: when the index drops below 20 (Extreme Fear), consider it a signal that markets may be oversold and due for a bounce. This aligns with Warren Buffett's famous advice to "be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."
- Profit-taking trigger: when the index exceeds 80 (Extreme Greed), consider trimming positions or taking profits. Markets driven by euphoria are statistically more likely to experience sharp pullbacks.
- DCA adjustment: dollar-cost averaging investors can increase their buy amounts during Extreme Fear periods and reduce them during Extreme Greed, effectively buying more when prices are depressed.
- Confirmation tool: use the index alongside technical analysis. A breakout accompanied by rising greed may have momentum, while a breakout during extreme fear could signal a short-lived bounce.
Important: The Fear & Greed Index is a sentiment indicator, not a timing tool. Extreme readings can persist for weeks before the market reverses. Always combine sentiment data with fundamental and technical analysis.
Limitations of Sentiment Indicators
While the Fear & Greed Index provides useful context, it has important limitations:
- It is a lagging indicator that reflects current conditions, not future movements
- Extreme readings can persist for extended periods during strong trends
- The weighting of input factors is determined by Alternative.me and may not suit every analysis framework
- It focuses primarily on Bitcoin sentiment, which may not perfectly reflect altcoin market conditions
- Social media signals can be manipulated by bots and coordinated campaigns
The index works best as one input among many in a comprehensive decision-making process, not as a standalone trading signal.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Fear & Greed Index of 0 mean?
A reading of 0 represents the most extreme fear possible. It indicates that investors are in full panic mode, selling aggressively, and expecting further declines. In practice, readings this low are extremely rare and have historically coincided with major market bottoms.
How often is the index updated?
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is updated once per day at midnight UTC. Each daily reading incorporates the previous 24 hours of market data across all six input factors. The widget above refreshes automatically to show the latest available value.
Can I use the Fear & Greed Index for altcoins?
The index is primarily Bitcoin-focused, but because Bitcoin sentiment tends to drive the broader crypto market, it serves as a reasonable proxy for overall market conditions. That said, individual altcoins can diverge significantly from Bitcoin's sentiment, especially during token-specific events.
Is the Fear & Greed Index a reliable buy/sell signal?
Not on its own. The index identifies sentiment extremes that have historically preceded reversals, but timing remains uncertain. Extreme Fear can last for weeks during a bear market, and Extreme Greed can persist through extended bull runs. Use it as contextual data alongside other analysis tools.
What was the lowest Fear & Greed reading ever recorded?
The index has recorded readings in the single digits during severe market downturns, including the March 2020 COVID crash (around 8) and during the June 2022 bear market when major crypto lenders collapsed. These extreme lows corresponded to periods of maximum pessimism.
How does Bitcoin dominance affect the index?
When Bitcoin dominance rises, it often means investors are rotating out of riskier altcoins and into Bitcoin as a "safe haven" within crypto. This flight-to-safety behavior is associated with fear. Falling dominance, where capital flows into altcoins, typically signals increased risk appetite and greed.
Where does the data come from?
The Fear & Greed Index is calculated and published by Alternative.me, which aggregates data from cryptocurrency exchanges, social media platforms, Google Trends, and investor surveys. The widget above fetches this data directly from their public API.
How does the crypto index compare to CNN's Fear & Greed Index?
CNN's index covers traditional stock markets and uses different inputs such as stock price momentum, put/call ratios, and junk bond demand. The crypto version replaces these with crypto-specific signals like Bitcoin dominance and social media activity. Both share the same 0-to-100 scale and contrarian philosophy.
This tool is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The Fear & Greed Index reflects market sentiment, not market direction. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
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